Barring a dramatic change in how NBA basketball is played, comebacks aren't going to become less likely. So at some point we have to change our definition of a 'safe' lead.

Season 16 of covering games in Portland started tonight

Giannis Antetokounmpo's -13 plus-minus was his second worst in a Bucks win since his emergence as an MVP. Milwaukee was +13 with Damian Lillard on the court and Giannis on the bench.

Going to rerun this article and just replace 'Portland Trail Blazers' with 'Milwaukee Bucks': espn.com/nba/insider/in… (ESPN+)

Along with Jonathan Givony, Kevin Pelton, and Tim MacMahon…

Here’s what we learned from Victor Wembanyama’s NBA debut:

espn.com/nba/story/_/id…

And ICYMI: Lowe Post podcast w/ Kevin Pelton: Season predictions! Every major award, Finals, champion -- plus Giannis extension reaction, analysis of all the 2020 draft class extensions, Adams injury/Grizz, more:

Spotify: spoti.fi/3Fv5q0g

Apple: apple.co/3Fukf33

New Lowe Post podcast: Instant reaction to the Giannis extension, then Kevin Pelton and I predict all the major NBA awards for the upcoming season, Finals picks, title winner, more:

Spotify: spoti.fi/3Fv5q0g

Apple: apple.co/3Fukf33

Breaking down the Giannis and rookie extensions.

via YouTube

m.youtube.com/watch?v=I6Ndc_…

Final preseason leaders in my wins above replacement player (WARP) metric, a box-score stat explained further here: sonicscentral.com/warp.html

Replacing Steven Adams' minutes with mostly more for Xavier Tillman Sr. and Kenny Lofton Jr. dropped Memphis' projection by about two wins.

espn.com/nba/insider/st…

Future Power Rankings

with Kevin Pelton Tim Bontemps Andre Snellings

espn.com/nba/insider/st…

I need a Last Chance Kitchen for GBBO

The perfect comp doesn’t exis—

Thanks to Kevin Pelton all I see now is the machine Mr Burns built to block the sun

Looking forward to hearing Tom Haberstroh on my 'home' broadcasts and continuing the Analytics Insider role that Cory Jez started so well.

Updated news story on the criminal summons, which ESPN obtained, issued Wednesday for suspended Charlotte Hornets forward Miles Bridges: espn.com/nba/story/_/id…